Weekly quantitative analysis of natural gas and crude oil markets. Systematic signals, supply/demand modeling, and macro frameworks — delivered to analysts, traders, and investors.
Elysium Research applies systematic, data-driven frameworks to commodity markets — eliminating narrative bias and focusing on structural signal.
Proprietary weekly balances for European gas and global crude, integrating production, LNG flows, weather demand models, and storage dynamics.
Statistical models identifying positioning extremes, seasonal patterns, and mean-reversion setups across the energy complex.
Integration of macro regime analysis — rates, dollar dynamics, and industrial cycle positioning — into commodity price forecasting.
A selection of recent reports from the Elysium Research archive.
Quantitative analysis of storage injection pace vs. 5-year average, demand sensitivities, and three price scenarios for TTF heading into winter.
Spread decomposition model examining compliance rates, US shale rig activity, and tanker flow data to forecast the Brent-WTI differential.
Flow-based model tracking US LNG export capacity ramp-up against Asian spot demand, with implications for European TTF/NBP basis.
Weekly quantitative commodity briefing — covering natural gas and crude oil. Free core edition, with full model access for subscribers.
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