TTF GAS €49.62/MWh ▼ -2.47%
BRENT $99.94/bbl ▼ -0.52%
WTI $94.50/bbl ▼ -1.28%
LNG JKM $16.16/MMBtu ▲ +0.43%
HH GAS $3.14/MMBtu ▼ -2.97%
SETTLEMENT 13 Mar 2026 — ELYSIUM RESEARCH
Quantitative Commodity Intelligence

Data-driven insight for energy markets

Weekly quantitative analysis of natural gas and crude oil markets. Systematic signals, supply/demand modeling, and macro frameworks — delivered to analysts, traders, and investors.

// Free weekly edition — no paywall on core insights
ELYSIUM // MARKET_MONITOR.exe
// European Gas — TTF Front Month
Current €49.62 ▼ -2.47%
5d Change -6.84 EUR/MWh -12.11%
JKM Spread -0.39/MWh
// Crude — Brent Spot
Current $99.94 ▼ -0.52%
Brent-WTI Spread $+5.44/bbl
5d Change +0.98 USD/bbl +0.99%
// Elysium Signal
Gas: TTF under pressure (-12.1% over 5 sessions). JKM at $0.39/MMBtu discount to TTF equivalent — European import pull intact.
Crude: Brent range-bound (1.0% over 5 sessions). Brent-WTI spread at $5.44/bbl. Awaiting directional catalyst.
2
Markets covered
45
Reports per year
100%
Quantitative methodology
CH
Based in Switzerland
Recent publications

A selection of recent reports from the Elysium Research archive.

Natural Gas Mar 2026

Qatar LNG Outage: European TTF Pricing & Summer Refill Risk

Analysis of 20% global LNG supply disruption impact on European gas markets. TTF pricing regimes (demand-destruction vs. coal-switching), storage deficit implications, and scenarios from 40–95+ EUR/MWh across 1–2+ month outage horizons.

Crude Oil Mar 2026

Strait of Hormuz Closure: Events, Risks & Forward Outlook

Analysis of Operation Epic Fury, global supply disruption (12–20 MB/D), policy responses (SPR release, pipeline bypasses), and Brent fair value scenarios ($76–$140) across 30–120 day closure horizons.

LNG Mar 2026

Qatar LNG Production Halt: Global Supply Disruption & Logistics

Assessment of largest-ever LNG market outage (20% global supply). Qatar restart dependencies (ceasefire, vessel availability, insurance), Strait mine-laying risk, and cargo scheduling constraints. Offset potential from Norway and US LNG re-routing.

How we think about markets

Elysium Research applies systematic, data-driven frameworks to commodity markets — eliminating narrative bias and focusing on structural signal.

[ MODEL ]

Supply-Demand Balances

Proprietary weekly balances for European gas and global crude, integrating production, LNG flows, weather demand models, and storage dynamics.

Read Methodology →
[ QUANT ]

Quantitative Signals

Statistical models identifying positioning extremes, seasonal patterns, and mean-reversion setups across the energy complex.

Read Methodology →
[ MACRO ]

Macro Framework

Integration of macro regime analysis — rates, dollar dynamics, and industrial cycle positioning — into commodity price forecasting.

Read Methodology →
Get in touch

For research enquiries, subscription questions, or institutional coverage requests — reach out directly.

research@elysium-research.com
// DETAILS
PUBLICATION Elysium Research
LOCATION Geneva, Switzerland
COVERAGE Natural Gas / Crude Oil
FREQUENCY Weekly
EMAIL research@elysium-research.com